Chicago Blackhawks at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-10-29 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Win Probability

CAR: 58.6%

CHI: 41.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.13

CHI: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 45%

CAR

A. Raanta

CHI

K. Lankinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Raanta	26	23	3	88.5%	3.06	3	0.06
CHI	K. Lankinen	35	29	6	82.9%	2.87	0	-3.13

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CAR at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-04-14	CHI 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	22	0	1.23
1	CHI	13	1	0.87
2	CAR	11	0	0.80
2	CHI	19	2	1.60
3	CAR	9	0	0.85
3	CHI	9	0	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 6 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1