Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2021-10-29 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks (SO)

Win Probability

VGK: 51.4%

ANA: 48.6%

Expected Goals

VGK: 2.50

ANA: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.9

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 54%

VGK

R. Lehner

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VGK	R. Lehner	42	37	5	88.1%	5.27	3	0.27
ANA	John Gibson	46	40	6	87.0%	5.30	4	-0.70

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • VGK at home vs ANA: 9-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-14	ANA 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-12	VGK 3 - 2 ANA	VGK	VGK
2026-05-10	ANA 4 - 3 VGK	ANA	ANA
2026-05-08	ANA 2 - 6 VGK	VGK	ANA
2026-05-06	VGK 1 - 3 ANA	ANA	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	25	1	1.74
1	ANA	11	0	0.68
2	VGK	15	0	0.77
2	ANA	16	0	1.60
3	VGK	9	1	0.57
3	ANA	19	1	1.59
4	VGK	3	0	0.29
4	ANA	4	1	0.47
5	VGK	4	2	1.93
5	ANA	4	1	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 4 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4