Florida Panthers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers (SO)

Win Probability

BOS: 64.4%

FLA: 35.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.14

FLA: 2.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

BOS

L. Ullmark

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	L. Ullmark	38	36	2	94.7%	2.02	1	0.02
FLA	Spencer Knight	35	32	3	91.4%	3.57	3	0.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • BOS at home vs FLA: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	16	0	0.62
1	FLA	15	0	0.51
2	BOS	12	1	0.83
2	FLA	16	1	0.79
3	BOS	9	1	0.99
3	FLA	8	0	0.41
4	BOS	1	0	0.18
4	FLA	1	0	0.10
5	BOS	2	1	0.94
5	FLA	3	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 3 - 2 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 2.7