New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PIT: 48.8%

NJD: 51.2%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.19

NJD: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

PIT

Tristan Jarry - 16-12-6 | 0.892 SV% | 3.12 GAA

NJD

J. Bernier

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PIT	Tristan Jarry	40	36	4	90.0%	2.41	0	-1.59
NJD	J. Bernier	35	33	2	94.3%	2.95	0	0.95

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PIT	10	0.83
1	NJD	15	0.53
2	PIT	12	0.84
2	NJD	18	1.30
3	PIT	21	1.29
3	NJD	13	0.59

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 2 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2