Chicago Blackhawks at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2021-10-30 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 75.5%
CHI: 24.5%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.52
CHI: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.7
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 52%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA
CHI
M. Fleury
| Stat | STL | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.56 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STL | Jordan Binnington | 25 | 25 | 0 | 100.0% | 2.63 | 0 | 2.63 |
| CHI | M. Fleury | 37 | 36 | 1 | 97.3% | 3.47 | 0 | 2.47 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 74% • STL at home vs CHI: 8-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | CHI 3 - 5 STL | STL | STL |
| 2026-01-07 | CHI 7 - 3 STL | CHI | STL |
| 2025-12-12 | STL 3 - 2 CHI | STL | STL |
| 2025-10-15 | STL 3 - 8 CHI | CHI | STL |
| 2025-03-22 | STL 4 - 1 CHI | STL | STL |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | STL | 22 | 0 | 1.29 |
| 1 | CHI | 10 | 0 | 0.56 |
| 2 | STL | 18 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 2 | CHI | 19 | 0 | 1.40 |
| 3 | STL | 15 | 0 | 1.04 |
| 3 | CHI | 12 | 0 | 0.68 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 75.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 1.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 1 - 0 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.8
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