Edmonton Oilers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-10-30 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

Win Probability

VAN: 57.8%

EDM: 42.2%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.07

EDM: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	34	32	2	94.1%	3.86	2	1.86
EDM	M. Koskinen	30	29	1	96.7%	2.78	1	1.78

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • VAN at home vs EDM: 6-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	EDM 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	EDM
2026-04-16	EDM 6 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM
2026-01-17	VAN 0 - 6 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-10-26	VAN 4 - 3 EDM	VAN	EDM
2025-10-11	EDM 3 - 1 VAN	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.76
1	EDM	18	0	1.41
2	VAN	16	1	0.77
2	EDM	16	1	1.02
3	VAN	19	0	1.25
3	EDM	13	1	1.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2