Arizona Coyotes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

PHI: 61.2%

ARI: 38.8%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.68

ARI: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

PHI

C. Hart

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	29	29	0	100.0%	2.31	0	2.31
ARI	K. Vejmelka	34	31	3	91.2%	4.65	2	1.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs ARI: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-02-12	PHI 5 - 3 ARI	PHI	PHI
2023-12-07	ARI 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	PHI
2023-01-05	PHI 6 - 2 ARI	PHI	PHI
2022-12-11	ARI 5 - 4 PHI	ARI	PHI
2021-12-11	ARI 3 - 5 PHI	PHI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	20	0	0.97
1	ARI	17	0	1.24
2	PHI	11	0	0.88
2	ARI	14	0	0.83
3	PHI	18	2	2.80
3	ARI	9	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 0 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0