Ottawa Senators at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 63.8%

OTT: 36.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.04

OTT: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 41%

MIN

C. Talbot

OTT

F. Gustavsson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	28	24	4	85.7%	2.70	1	-1.30
OTT	F. Gustavsson	43	38	5	88.4%	4.10	2	-0.90

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • MIN at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	OTT 1 - 4 MIN	MIN	OTT
2025-12-13	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN
2025-02-01	OTT 6 - 0 MIN	OTT	OTT
2024-12-29	MIN 1 - 3 OTT	OTT	MIN
2024-04-02	MIN 3 - 2 OTT	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	16	1	1.40
1	OTT	11	0	0.63
2	MIN	13	1	1.19
2	OTT	14	0	1.18
3	MIN	26	0	1.41
3	OTT	11	1	0.89
4	MIN	1	0	0.11
4	OTT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 63.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 5 - 4 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0