New York Rangers at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 New York Rangers (OT)

Win Probability

VAN: 64.1%

NYR: 35.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.25

NYR: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	25	23	2	92.0%	1.89	0	-0.11
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	36	33	3	91.7%	4.42	2	1.42

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • VAN at home vs NYR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-16	NYR 0 - 3 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-10-28	VAN 0 - 2 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-03-22	NYR 5 - 3 VAN	NYR	VAN
2024-11-19	VAN 3 - 4 NYR	NYR	VAN
2024-01-08	NYR 3 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	11	0	0.43
1	NYR	9	0	0.57
2	VAN	18	0	1.78
2	NYR	9	0	0.63
3	VAN	14	0	1.21
3	NYR	15	0	0.69
4	VAN	4	2	0.99
4	NYR	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0