Buffalo Sabres at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-11-02 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

🚨 Upset Win (55% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 45.3%

BUF: 54.7%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.99

BUF: 3.17

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

SJS

J. Reimer

BUF

C. Anderson

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	28	25	3	89.3%	1.89	1	-1.11
BUF	C. Anderson	27	22	5	81.5%	2.40	2	-2.60

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs BUF: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	SJS 0 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF
2026-03-10	BUF 6 - 3 SJS	BUF	BUF
2025-03-04	BUF 2 - 6 SJS	SJS	BUF
2024-11-23	SJS 2 - 4 BUF	BUF	BUF
2024-01-27	SJS 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	1	0.83
1	BUF	8	0	0.18
2	SJS	10	0	0.98
2	BUF	12	0	0.38
3	SJS	12	1	0.58
3	BUF	14	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 5 - 3 Buffalo Sabres

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2