Carolina Hurricanes at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2021-11-03 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

CHI: 29.8%

CAR: 70.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.61

CAR: 3.79

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

CHI

M. Fleury

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	M. Fleury	32	28	4	87.5%	3.42	1	-0.58
CAR	Frederik Andersen	30	27	3	90.0%	2.56	1	-0.44

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 90% • CHI at home vs CAR: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	CHI 2 - 7 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-22	CAR 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CAR
2025-01-30	CAR 3 - 2 CHI	CAR	CAR
2025-01-20	CHI 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-04-14	CHI 2 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	8	0	0.44
1	CAR	15	0	0.89
2	CHI	14	1	0.79
2	CAR	19	0	1.21
3	CHI	17	0	1.33
3	CAR	10	1	1.32

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.6 - 3.8