Nashville Predators at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2021-11-03 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

EDM: 53.0%

NSH: 47.0%

Expected Goals

EDM: 2.91

NSH: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

EDM

M. Koskinen

NSH

C. Ingram

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
EDM	M. Koskinen	33	31	2	93.9%	3.36	2	1.36
NSH	C. Ingram	30	25	5	83.3%	4.00	2	-1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • EDM at home vs NSH: 7-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	EDM 3 - 1 NSH	EDM	EDM
2026-01-13	NSH 4 - 3 EDM	NSH	NSH
2026-01-06	EDM 6 - 2 NSH	EDM	NSH
2024-11-14	EDM 3 - 2 NSH	EDM	EDM
2024-10-31	NSH 1 - 5 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	12	0	0.68
1	NSH	11	0	0.64
2	EDM	14	1	1.22
2	NSH	12	1	1.08
3	EDM	13	1	2.10
3	NSH	20	1	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4