Detroit Red Wings at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-11-04 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

BOS: 64.4%

DET: 35.6%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.96

DET: 3.09

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 41%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

DET

T. Greiss

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	15	14	1	93.3%	1.30	0	0.30
DET	T. Greiss	37	32	5	86.5%	3.63	2	-1.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • BOS at home vs DET: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	DET 2 - 4 BOS	BOS	DET
2026-01-13	BOS 3 - 0 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-12-02	DET 5 - 4 BOS	DET	DET
2025-11-29	BOS 3 - 2 DET	BOS	BOS
2025-03-29	DET 2 - 1 BOS	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	18	1	0.94
1	DET	8	0	0.32
2	BOS	22	0	1.18
2	DET	9	0	0.37
3	BOS	13	1	1.50
3	DET	9	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.0

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 5 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 4.0 - 3.1