Arizona Coyotes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-05 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Win Probability

ANA: 58.0%

ARI: 42.0%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.33

ARI: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

ANA

A. Stolarz

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	A. Stolarz	29	28	1	96.6%	2.21	1	1.21
ARI	K. Vejmelka	31	28	3	90.3%	3.87	2	0.87

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs ARI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-12-29	ANA 0 - 2 ARI	ARI	ANA
2023-11-01	ANA 4 - 3 ARI	ANA	ARI
2023-10-21	ARI 2 - 1 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-04-08	ARI 5 - 4 ANA	ARI	ARI
2023-01-28	ANA 2 - 1 ARI	ANA	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	11	1	1.24
1	ARI	18	1	0.94
2	ANA	18	0	1.15
2	ARI	7	0	0.60
3	ANA	18	1	1.47
3	ARI	13	0	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 1 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9