New York Rangers at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2021-11-06 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 6 - 0 New York Rangers

Win Probability

CGY: 78.0%

NYR: 22.0%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.86

NYR: 1.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 51%

CGY

J. Markstrom

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CGY	J. Markstrom	22	22	0	100.0%	2.41	1	2.41
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	37	31	6	83.8%	4.03	1	-1.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • CGY at home vs NYR: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-10	NYR 4 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR
2025-10-26	CGY 5 - 1 NYR	CGY	CGY
2025-03-18	NYR 1 - 2 CGY	CGY	NYR
2024-11-21	CGY 3 - 2 NYR	CGY	CGY
2024-02-12	NYR 2 - 0 CGY	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	17	1	1.07
1	NYR	11	0	0.65
2	CGY	24	0	1.85
2	NYR	16	0	0.90
3	CGY	17	0	1.11
3	NYR	14	1	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 78.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 6 - 0 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 1.9