New Jersey Devils at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-11-06 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 51.7%

NJD: 48.3%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.94

NJD: 3.21

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

SJS

J. Reimer

NJD

J. Bernier

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	31	27	4	87.1%	3.82	2	-0.18
NJD	J. Bernier	29	26	3	89.7%	3.01	1	0.01

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-30	SJS 5 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2025-10-24	NJD 3 - 1 SJS	NJD	NJD
2025-01-04	SJS 3 - 2 NJD	SJS	SJS
2024-11-10	NJD 0 - 1 SJS	SJS	NJD
2024-02-27	SJS 2 - 7 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	13	0	0.73
1	NJD	10	0	0.33
2	SJS	13	0	0.52
2	NJD	12	0	0.52
3	SJS	8	0	0.50
3	NJD	17	0	0.77
4	SJS	5	0	0.41
4	NJD	3	0	0.37
5	SJS	3	1	0.85
5	NJD	3	2	1.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2