Florida Panthers at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-11-09 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

Win Probability

NJD: 64.5%

FLA: 35.5%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.15

FLA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

NJD

M. Blackwood

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	38	35	3	92.1%	3.64	2	0.64
FLA	Spencer Knight	31	24	7	77.4%	3.03	4	-3.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs FLA: 3-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	19	1	0.97
1	FLA	16	1	1.59
2	NJD	14	0	0.67
2	FLA	17	1	1.12
3	NJD	14	3	1.39
3	FLA	16	0	0.93

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 7 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.1