St. Louis Blues at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-09 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues (SO)

Win Probability

WPG: 47.1%

STL: 52.9%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.21

STL: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	35	32	3	91.4%	3.89	1	0.89
STL	Jordan Binnington	45	43	2	95.6%	4.21	2	2.21

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • WPG at home vs STL: 12-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	STL 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	STL
2026-03-15	WPG 3 - 2 STL	WPG	STL
2026-01-20	WPG 3 - 1 STL	WPG	STL
2025-12-17	STL 1 - 0 WPG	STL	WPG
2025-05-04	WPG 4 - 3 STL	WPG	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	9	0	0.63
1	STL	9	0	0.53
2	WPG	26	2	1.96
2	STL	8	0	0.55
3	WPG	21	0	1.34
3	STL	14	0	0.78
4	WPG	1	0	0.04
4	STL	11	0	0.94
5	WPG	4	0	0.24
5	STL	4	1	1.10

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.2 - 3.2