Minnesota Wild at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-11-10 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Win Probability

ARI: 39.1%

MIN: 60.9%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.54

MIN: 3.42

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

MIN

K. Kahkonen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	K. Vejmelka	30	25	5	83.3%	2.67	1	-2.33
MIN	K. Kahkonen	26	24	2	92.3%	1.98	0	-0.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • ARI at home vs MIN: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-12	MIN 4 - 1 ARI	MIN	MIN
2024-03-07	ARI 2 - 5 MIN	MIN	MIN
2024-02-14	ARI 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	ARI
2024-01-13	MIN 0 - 6 ARI	ARI	MIN
2023-03-12	ARI 5 - 4 MIN	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.40
1	MIN	13	1	0.85
2	ARI	11	0	0.82
2	MIN	17	0	1.04
3	ARI	17	0	0.76
3	MIN	10	0	0.78

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.5 - 3.4