New York Islanders at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-11-11 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Win Probability

NJD: 53.0%

NYI: 47.0%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.06

NYI: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

NJD

M. Blackwood

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 12-10-2 | 0.910 SV% | 2.55 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	42	42	0	100.0%	3.08	3	3.08
NYI	Ilya Sorokin	34	30	4	88.2%	2.96	2	-1.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • NJD at home vs NYI: 2-7

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.65
1	NYI	19	1	1.17
2	NJD	19	1	1.39
2	NYI	20	2	1.13
3	NJD	13	1	0.92
3	NYI	16	0	0.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 4 - 0 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2