Anaheim Ducks at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-11-11 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 4 - 7 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 55.5%

ANA: 44.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.37

ANA: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	36	29	7	80.6%	2.93	3	-4.07
ANA	John Gibson	25	21	4	84.0%	1.89	0	-2.11

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 61% • SEA at home vs ANA: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	6	0	0.33
1	ANA	21	0	0.94
2	SEA	10	0	0.55
2	ANA	14	0	0.50
3	SEA	19	0	1.01
3	ANA	11	3	1.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 4 - 7 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.4 - 3.5