Boston Bruins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-11-13 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Win Probability

NJD: 42.1%

BOS: 57.9%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.69

BOS: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 37%

NJD

J. Bernier

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	J. Bernier	36	31	5	86.1%	3.28	4	-1.72
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	29	27	2	93.1%	3.08	2	1.08

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs BOS: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	BOS 4 - 0 NJD	BOS	NJD
2026-03-16	NJD 4 - 3 BOS	NJD	NJD
2025-12-06	BOS 4 - 1 NJD	BOS	BOS
2025-04-15	BOS 4 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD
2025-04-08	NJD 2 - 7 BOS	BOS	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	2	1.11
1	BOS	16	2	0.97
2	NJD	14	0	1.27
2	BOS	16	0	0.78
3	NJD	17	0	0.71
3	BOS	15	2	1.53

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.7 - 3.3