St. Louis Blues at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2021-11-13 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)

Win Probability

CAR: 48.5%

STL: 51.5%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.55

STL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

CAR

A. Lyon

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	A. Lyon	29	27	2	93.1%	4.27	4	2.27
STL	Joel Hofer	24	21	3	87.5%	2.96	2	-0.04

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • CAR at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-12	CAR 1 - 3 STL	STL	CAR
2026-01-13	STL 3 - 0 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-11-17	CAR 4 - 1 STL	CAR	CAR
2024-10-19	STL 4 - 3 CAR	STL	CAR
2024-04-12	STL 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	12	1	0.97
1	STL	8	1	0.93
2	CAR	16	1	1.52
2	STL	20	3	2.37
3	CAR	12	0	0.48
3	STL	12	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.6 - 2.9