San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2021-11-13 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

COL: 64.6%

SJS: 35.4%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.72

SJS: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

COL

D. Kuemper

SJS

A. Hill

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
COL	D. Kuemper	30	28	2	93.3%	2.07	0	0.07
SJS	A. Hill	31	25	6	80.6%	3.49	1	-2.51

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • COL at home vs SJS: 8-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	COL 4 - 2 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-26	COL 6 - 0 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-01	SJS 3 - 2 COL	SJS	COL
2025-03-06	COL 7 - 3 SJS	COL	COL
2024-12-19	SJS 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	15	0	0.75
1	SJS	12	0	0.45
2	COL	13	0	1.16
2	SJS	11	0	0.92
3	COL	14	1	1.59
3	SJS	10	0	0.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 6 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8