Minnesota Wild at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2021-11-13 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 51.3%
MIN: 48.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.96
MIN: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA
MIN
C. Talbot
| Stat | SEA | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.920 | — |
| Last 5 SV% | — | — |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.32 | — |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.
Goalie Game Metrics
| Team | Goalie | SA | Saves | GA | SV% | xGA | HD Faced | GSAx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SEA | Philipp Grubauer | 22 | 18 | 4 | 81.8% | 2.20 | 2 | -1.80 |
| MIN | C. Talbot | 30 | 28 | 2 | 93.3% | 3.24 | 1 | 1.24 |
SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • SEA at home vs MIN: 1-7
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-07 | MIN 5 - 2 SEA | MIN | MIN |
| 2026-01-08 | SEA 2 - 3 MIN | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-12-08 | SEA 1 - 4 MIN | MIN | SEA |
| 2025-03-19 | MIN 4 - 0 SEA | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-03-04 | SEA 3 - 4 MIN | MIN | MIN |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 10 | 0 | 0.40 |
| 1 | MIN | 10 | 0 | 0.41 |
| 2 | SEA | 18 | 0 | 1.14 |
| 2 | MIN | 10 | 0 | 0.55 |
| 3 | SEA | 21 | 1 | 1.70 |
| 3 | MIN | 10 | 2 | 1.23 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 2 - 4 Minnesota Wild
Expected: 3.0 - 3.3
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