Nashville Predators at Toronto Maple Leafs NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • Scotiabank Arena

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

TOR: 59.6%

NSH: 40.4%

Expected Goals

TOR: 3.00

NSH: 2.92

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 47%

TOR

J. Campbell

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
TOR	J. Campbell	24	24	0	100.0%	2.22	0	2.22
NSH	Juuse Saros	34	31	3	91.2%	4.85	3	1.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • TOR at home vs NSH: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-20	NSH 5 - 3 TOR	NSH	NSH
2025-10-14	TOR 7 - 4 NSH	TOR	TOR
2025-03-22	NSH 5 - 2 TOR	NSH	NSH
2024-12-04	TOR 3 - 2 NSH	TOR	TOR
2023-12-09	TOR 4 - 0 NSH	TOR	TOR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	TOR	20	0	1.68
1	NSH	14	0	0.77
2	TOR	21	1	1.44
2	NSH	10	0	0.62
3	TOR	13	2	1.74
3	NSH	12	0	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Toronto Maple Leafs 3 - 0 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9