Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-12-06 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 55.8%

OTT: 44.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.30

OTT: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 51%

NJD

M. Blackwood

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	25	21	4	84.0%	3.73	3	-0.27
OTT	Anton Forsberg	26	23	3	88.5%	4.39	2	1.39

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • NJD at home vs OTT: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	13	0	0.56
1	OTT	9	0	0.55
2	NJD	17	1	1.02
2	OTT	14	1	1.03
3	NJD	14	0	0.92
3	OTT	11	0	0.47
4	NJD	7	0	0.76
4	OTT	1	0	0.06
5	NJD	3	1	1.13
5	OTT	3	2	1.61

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0