San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

MIN: 58.7%

SJS: 41.3%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.58

SJS: 3.08

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 45%

MIN

C. Talbot

SJS

J. Reimer

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	21	17	4	81.0%	1.30	0	-2.70
SJS	J. Reimer	27	26	1	96.3%	2.00	1	1.00

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • MIN at home vs SJS: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	SJS
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	8	0	0.33
1	SJS	14	0	0.64
2	MIN	17	1	1.03
2	SJS	11	0	0.45
3	MIN	12	0	0.65
3	SJS	6	0	0.21

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 1 - 4 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.6 - 3.1