Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WPG: 59.7%

EDM: 40.3%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.19

EDM: 2.87

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 52%

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

EDM

M. Koskinen

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	34	32	2	94.1%	3.05	2	1.05
EDM	M. Koskinen	35	30	5	85.7%	3.78	1	-1.22

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • WPG at home vs EDM: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	14	0	1.05
1	EDM	12	0	0.41
2	WPG	20	0	1.42
2	EDM	16	0	0.94
3	WPG	12	1	1.32
3	EDM	19	2	1.70

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 5 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 3.2 - 2.9