Washington Capitals at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-16 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Washington Capitals (OT)

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 44.2%

WSH: 55.8%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.55

WSH: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	30	28	2	93.3%	2.80	2	0.80
WSH	V. Vanecek	31	28	3	90.3%	2.23	0	-0.77

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • ANA at home vs WSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-05	WSH 7 - 4 ANA	WSH	WSH
2025-12-05	ANA 4 - 3 WSH	ANA	WSH
2025-03-11	ANA 4 - 7 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-01-14	WSH 3 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH
2024-01-16	WSH 2 - 0 ANA	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	14	0	0.60
1	WSH	15	2	1.07
2	ANA	15	0	0.85
2	WSH	8	0	0.45
3	ANA	9	0	0.49
3	WSH	19	0	1.09
4	ANA	2	0	0.29
4	WSH	2	0	0.20

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 3 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 2.6 - 3.4