Nashville Predators at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2022-04-07 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 55.3%

NSH: 44.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.18

NSH: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

OTT

Anton Forsberg - 11-12-3 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
OTT	Anton Forsberg	34	31	3	91.2%	3.77	1	0.77
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	27	2	93.1%	3.57	1	1.57

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • OTT at home vs NSH: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-22	NSH 5 - 3 OTT	NSH	OTT
2025-10-13	OTT 1 - 4 NSH	NSH	OTT
2025-02-03	NSH 2 - 5 OTT	OTT	NSH
2024-12-07	OTT 3 - 1 NSH	OTT	OTT
2024-02-27	NSH 4 - 1 OTT	NSH	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	0	0.74
1	NSH	8	0	1.00
2	OTT	20	1	1.80
2	NSH	23	1	2.01
3	OTT	17	0	1.03
3	NSH	14	0	0.76

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 2 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0