New Jersey Devils at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-18 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

FLA: 58.7%

NJD: 41.3%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.06

NJD: 2.88

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 68%

Over 6.5: 53%

FLA

Spencer Knight - 0-0-0 | 0.000 SV% | 0.00 GAA

NJD

M. Blackwood

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Spencer Knight	46	45	1	97.8%	2.98	0	1.98
NJD	M. Blackwood	41	37	4	90.2%	3.83	2	-0.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 47% • FLA at home vs NJD: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	NJD 5 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-11-20	FLA 1 - 0 NJD	FLA	FLA
2025-10-16	NJD 3 - 1 FLA	NJD	NJD
2025-01-14	NJD 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	NJD
2024-11-14	FLA 2 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	0	1.17
1	NJD	24	0	1.26
2	FLA	25	2	2.22
2	NJD	11	0	0.67
3	FLA	9	0	0.45
3	NJD	16	0	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 2.9