Dallas Stars at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2021-11-18 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 7 - 2 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

MIN: 52.5%

DAL: 47.5%

Expected Goals

MIN: 2.95

DAL: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

MIN

C. Talbot

DAL

A. Khudobin

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	C. Talbot	38	36	2	94.7%	3.65	3	1.65
DAL	A. Khudobin	26	19	7	73.1%	2.46	1	-4.54

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • MIN at home vs DAL: 8-8

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-30	MIN 5 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-28	DAL 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	DAL
2026-04-25	MIN 3 - 2 DAL	MIN	MIN
2026-04-22	MIN 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	MIN
2026-04-20	DAL 4 - 2 MIN	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	15	0	1.01
1	DAL	17	0	0.87
2	MIN	11	1	0.75
2	DAL	10	0	0.40
3	MIN	10	0	0.70
3	DAL	27	3	2.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 7 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1