Columbus Blue Jackets at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-11-18 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets (SO)

Win Probability

ARI: 44.0%

CBJ: 56.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.84

CBJ: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 40%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	52	45	7	86.5%	7.73	8	0.73
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	36	30	6	83.3%	4.94	2	-1.06

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ARI at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-26	ARI 6 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2023-11-16	CBJ 2 - 3 ARI	ARI	ARI
2023-02-19	ARI 3 - 2 CBJ	ARI	ARI
2022-10-25	CBJ 3 - 6 ARI	ARI	CBJ
2021-11-18	ARI 4 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.73
1	CBJ	16	0	0.99
2	ARI	13	0	1.17
2	CBJ	20	3	1.95
3	ARI	14	0	0.94
3	CBJ	18	1	1.26
4	ARI	1	0	0.02
4	CBJ	6	1	0.73
5	ARI	7	2	2.08
5	CBJ	7	3	2.79

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 4 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1