Carolina Hurricanes at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2021-11-18 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Win Probability

ANA: 43.7%

CAR: 56.3%

Expected Goals

ANA: 2.73

CAR: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 47%

ANA

John Gibson - 13-27-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.54 GAA

CAR

Frederik Andersen - 5-9-2 | 0.865 SV% | 3.38 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	John Gibson	31	29	2	93.5%	3.76	3	1.76
CAR	Frederik Andersen	32	31	1	96.9%	2.81	0	1.81

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • ANA at home vs CAR: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	CAR 5 - 2 ANA	CAR	CAR
2025-10-16	ANA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-23	ANA 2 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-01-12	CAR 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	CAR
2024-01-11	CAR 6 - 3 ANA	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	21	0	1.24
1	CAR	17	0	0.80
2	ANA	12	0	0.97
2	CAR	15	0	1.09
3	ANA	8	0	0.59
3	CAR	18	3	1.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 1 - 2 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4