Winnipeg Jets at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2021-11-19 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

VAN: 66.3%

WPG: 33.7%

Expected Goals

VAN: 3.65

WPG: 2.97

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

VAN

Thatcher Demko - 8-8-0 | 0.905 SV% | 2.72 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
VAN	Thatcher Demko	39	37	2	94.9%	3.12	2	1.12
WPG	Eric Comrie	29	26	3	89.7%	1.83	0	-1.17

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • VAN at home vs WPG: 4-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-07	WPG 3 - 2 VAN	WPG	WPG
2026-02-25	VAN 2 - 3 WPG	WPG	WPG
2025-11-11	VAN 3 - 5 WPG	WPG	VAN
2025-03-30	WPG 3 - 1 VAN	WPG	WPG
2025-03-18	VAN 6 - 2 WPG	VAN	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	13	0	0.54
1	WPG	18	1	1.07
2	VAN	12	0	0.72
2	WPG	14	1	1.17
3	VAN	10	0	0.56
3	WPG	15	0	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 3 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.7 - 3.0