Colorado Avalanche at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-11-19 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Win Probability

SEA: 46.9%

COL: 53.1%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.04

COL: 3.63

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 36%

SEA

C. Driedger

COL

D. Kuemper

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	C. Driedger	30	23	7	76.7%	1.98	1	-5.02
COL	D. Kuemper	28	25	3	89.3%	2.14	1	-0.86

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 59% • SEA at home vs COL: 2-9

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-16	COL 2 - 0 SEA	COL	COL
2026-03-12	SEA 1 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2025-12-16	SEA 3 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2024-12-22	COL 5 - 2 SEA	COL	COL
2024-11-05	COL 6 - 3 SEA	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	9	1	0.73
1	COL	14	1	0.85
2	SEA	8	0	0.19
2	COL	19	0	0.97
3	SEA	19	0	1.22
3	COL	5	0	0.16

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 10.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 3 - 7 Colorado Avalanche

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6