Nashville Predators at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2021-11-20 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

MTL: 58.2%

NSH: 41.8%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.28

NSH: 2.86

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

MTL

Samuel Montembeault - 6-6-1 | 0.863 SV% | 3.52 GAA

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MTL	Samuel Montembeault	36	33	3	91.7%	2.87	0	-0.13
NSH	Juuse Saros	29	23	6	79.3%	3.15	2	-2.85

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • MTL at home vs NSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-28	NSH 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH
2025-10-16	MTL 3 - 2 NSH	MTL	MTL
2025-04-06	NSH 1 - 2 MTL	MTL	NSH
2024-12-05	MTL 3 - 0 NSH	MTL	MTL
2024-03-05	NSH 3 - 4 MTL	MTL	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	15	0	0.88
1	NSH	20	0	1.15
2	MTL	20	1	1.34
2	NSH	16	0	0.82
3	MTL	10	1	0.93
3	NSH	15	0	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 6 - 3 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9