Detroit Red Wings at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2021-11-20 • Gila River Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings (OT)

Win Probability

ARI: 59.6%

DET: 40.4%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.34

DET: 2.90

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

ARI

S. Wedgewood

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ARI	S. Wedgewood	34	33	1	97.1%	2.19	0	1.19
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	29	27	2	93.1%	1.72	1	-0.28

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • ARI at home vs DET: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-14	DET 1 - 4 ARI	ARI	ARI
2024-03-08	ARI 4 - 0 DET	ARI	ARI
2023-01-17	ARI 4 - 3 DET	ARI	ARI
2022-11-25	DET 4 - 3 ARI	DET	DET
2022-03-08	DET 2 - 9 ARI	ARI	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	13	0	0.51
1	DET	10	0	0.42
2	ARI	10	0	0.57
2	DET	22	0	1.18
3	ARI	15	0	0.39
3	DET	12	0	0.59
4	ARI	2	1	0.25
4	DET	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 1 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.3 - 2.9