Arizona Coyotes at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2021-11-21 • STAPLES Center

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Arizona Coyotes (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

LAK: 67.0%

ARI: 33.0%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.48

ARI: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

LAK

J. Quick

ARI

K. Vejmelka - 12-21-0 | 0.891 SV% | 3.67 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	J. Quick	27	25	2	92.6%	2.72	2	0.72
ARI	K. Vejmelka	38	37	1	97.4%	3.99	2	2.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • LAK at home vs ARI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2023-11-20	ARI 1 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-27	ARI 4 - 5 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-10-24	LAK 6 - 3 ARI	LAK	LAK
2023-02-18	LAK 6 - 5 ARI	LAK	ARI
2022-12-23	ARI 2 - 1 LAK	ARI	ARI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	16	1	1.36
1	ARI	9	0	0.57
2	LAK	19	0	1.05
2	ARI	11	1	0.86
3	LAK	13	1	1.12
3	ARI	16	1	1.10
4	LAK	4	0	0.45
4	ARI	2	0	0.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 2 Arizona Coyotes

Expected: 3.5 - 2.7