Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2021-11-21 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

SEA: 54.5%

WSH: 45.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.32

WSH: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 40%

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

WSH

V. Vanecek

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	39	37	2	94.9%	3.48	2	1.48
WSH	V. Vanecek	31	26	5	83.9%	3.67	2	-1.33

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SEA at home vs WSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	18	1	1.65
1	WSH	14	1	1.17
2	SEA	13	0	0.95
2	WSH	10	0	0.31
3	SEA	12	1	1.06
3	WSH	29	1	2.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5