Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2021-11-22 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

STL: 62.1%

VGK: 37.9%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.23

VGK: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 71%

Over 6.5: 52%

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	34	32	2	94.1%	2.86	0	0.86
VGK	R. Lehner	31	26	5	83.9%	2.39	0	-2.61

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 2-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	STL	13	1.03
1	VGK	13	0.67
2	STL	15	0.71
2	VGK	12	0.83
3	STL	6	0.64
3	VGK	24	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.8