Carolina Hurricanes at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-11-22 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes (OT)

Win Probability

SJS: 56.5%

CAR: 43.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.07

CAR: 3.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

SJS

J. Reimer

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	23	22	1	95.7%	1.27	1	0.27
CAR	A. Raanta	27	25	2	92.6%	2.09	0	0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 80% • SJS at home vs CAR: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-07	CAR 1 - 4 SJS	SJS	CAR
2025-10-14	SJS 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-03-20	SJS 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2024-12-10	CAR 3 - 2 SJS	CAR	CAR
2023-10-27	CAR 3 - 0 SJS	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.58
1	CAR	9	0	0.50
2	SJS	10	0	0.55
2	CAR	16	1	0.61
3	SJS	13	0	0.61
3	CAR	7	0	0.15
4	SJS	4	0	0.34
4	CAR	1	0	0.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.1 - 3.5