St. Louis Blues at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

DET: 46.8%

STL: 53.2%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.88

STL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

DET

A. Nedeljkovic

STL

V. Husso

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
DET	A. Nedeljkovic	37	35	2	94.6%	4.38	4	2.38
STL	V. Husso	23	19	4	82.6%	2.97	2	-1.03

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-10-28	STL 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-10-25	DET 6 - 4 STL	DET	DET
2025-04-01	STL 2 - 1 DET	STL	STL
2024-12-23	DET 0 - 4 STL	STL	DET
2024-02-24	DET 6 - 1 STL	DET	DET

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	13	0	0.92
1	STL	13	1	1.31
2	DET	6	1	0.69
2	STL	15	1	1.43
3	DET	12	1	1.36
3	STL	20	2	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 4 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 2.9 - 3.0