Philadelphia Flyers at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • FLA Live Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

Win Probability

FLA: 74.8%

PHI: 25.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 4.05

PHI: 2.60

Total Goals

Median: 7.0

Over 5.5: 70%

Over 6.5: 55%

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

PHI

M. Jones

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	33	32	1	97.0%	2.81	2	1.81
PHI	M. Jones	45	43	2	95.6%	4.37	2	2.37

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs PHI: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-11-26	FLA 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	FLA
2025-10-13	PHI 5 - 2 FLA	PHI	PHI
2025-10-09	FLA 2 - 1 PHI	FLA	FLA
2025-01-13	PHI 4 - 3 FLA	PHI	FLA
2024-12-05	PHI 5 - 7 FLA	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	24	0	1.20
1	PHI	14	2	1.70
2	FLA	13	1	1.08
2	PHI	10	0	0.30
3	FLA	12	1	1.09
3	PHI	12	0	0.74
4	FLA	8	0	0.99
4	PHI	1	0	0.08

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 74.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.7

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 1 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 4.1 - 2.6