Minnesota Wild at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild (SO)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 50.4%

MIN: 49.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.86

MIN: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 47%

NJD

M. Blackwood

MIN

C. Talbot

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	M. Blackwood	28	25	3	89.3%	2.83	2	-0.17
MIN	C. Talbot	44	42	2	95.5%	4.65	4	2.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NJD at home vs MIN: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-12	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2025-10-22	NJD 4 - 1 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-31	NJD 3 - 2 MIN	NJD	NJD
2025-03-29	MIN 2 - 5 NJD	NJD	MIN
2023-11-02	MIN 3 - 5 NJD	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	20	2	1.66
1	MIN	14	1	0.85
2	NJD	14	1	1.04
2	MIN	8	0	0.34
3	NJD	18	1	1.49
3	MIN	10	0	0.57
4	NJD	6	0	0.27
4	MIN	1	0	0.14
5	NJD	3	0	0.19
5	MIN	2	1	0.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 3 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3