Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NSH: 54.4%

VGK: 45.6%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.17

VGK: 2.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 48%

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

VGK

R. Lehner

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	35	30	5	85.7%	3.39	2	-1.61
VGK	R. Lehner	28	26	2	92.9%	2.82	0	0.82

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs VGK: 4-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	VGK
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	11	0	0.47
1	VGK	18	0	0.90
2	NSH	14	0	1.07
2	VGK	14	1	1.19
3	NSH	18	0	1.28
3	VGK	12	1	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.6

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 2 - 5 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.2 - 2.4