Ottawa Senators at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2021-11-24 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 47.0%

OTT: 53.0%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.25

OTT: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

SJS

J. Reimer

OTT

M. Murray

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
SJS	J. Reimer	29	26	3	89.7%	3.84	2	0.84
OTT	M. Murray	29	23	6	79.3%	3.81	3	-2.19

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs OTT: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-15	OTT 7 - 4 SJS	OTT	OTT
2025-11-22	SJS 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-03-01	OTT 5 - 3 SJS	OTT	OTT
2024-11-27	SJS 3 - 4 OTT	OTT	OTT
2024-03-09	SJS 2 - 1 OTT	SJS	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	1	1.29
1	OTT	16	2	2.17
2	SJS	14	0	1.05
2	OTT	17	0	1.15
3	SJS	13	2	1.47
3	OTT	10	0	0.52

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 6 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1