New York Rangers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 64.0%

NYR: 36.0%

Expected Goals

BOS: 4.07

NYR: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 15-10-2 | 0.903 SV% | 2.84 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 16-12-4 | 0.910 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
BOS	Jeremy Swayman	31	26	5	83.9%	3.00	2	-2.00
NYR	Igor Shesterkin	36	34	2	94.4%	2.99	2	0.99

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • BOS at home vs NYR: 5-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-09-29	BOS 3 - 0 NYR	BOS	NYR
2026-01-26	NYR 4 - 3 BOS	NYR	BOS
2026-01-10	BOS 10 - 2 NYR	BOS	BOS
2025-11-28	BOS 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-02-05	NYR 3 - 2 BOS	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	20	1	1.29
1	NYR	8	0	0.73
2	BOS	13	0	0.72
2	NYR	20	0	1.22
3	BOS	12	1	0.98
3	NYR	7	2	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 64.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.2

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 2 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 4.1 - 3.2