Carolina Hurricanes at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2021-11-26 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Loss (66% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 65.9%

CAR: 34.1%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.19

CAR: 2.61

Total Goals

Median: 6.8

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 52%

PHI

C. Hart

CAR

A. Raanta

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	C. Hart	36	30	6	83.3%	2.40	0	-3.60
CAR	A. Raanta	23	20	3	87.0%	1.98	0	-1.02

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 65% • PHI at home vs CAR: 1-11

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-09	PHI 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-07	PHI 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	PHI
2026-05-04	CAR 3 - 2 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-05-02	CAR 3 - 0 PHI	CAR	CAR
2026-04-13	PHI 3 - 2 CAR	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	xG
1	PHI	10	0.78
1	CAR	24	0.84
2	PHI	15	0.77
2	CAR	12	0.92
3	PHI	10	0.43
3	CAR	11	0.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 3 - 6 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6